Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	1TV
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Romania	Pro Arena
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universitatea Craiova		Ararat-Armenia

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.38	4.80	8.00
	1.31	4.55	9.7	Watch
	1.39	4.92	8.06
	1.37	4.9	8.44	Watch
	1.28	4.9	11
	1.3	5.53	9.43
	1.3	5.2	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	4.94 ↑ (4.91)	9.04 ↑ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
70.7%

Draw
18.9%

Ararat-Armenia
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

19.8%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

18.8%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ararat-Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Universitatea Craiova - Ararat Armenia Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitatea Craiova will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universitatea Craiova will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Popescu L. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 28. Rus A. 6. Screciu V. 17. Mora C. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 20. Cicaldau A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 30. Matei D. 9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 3. Junior Julio 43. Wilson Valdez B. R. 47. Malis A. 16. Grigoryan E. 2. Oliveira H. 70. Benny 19. Muradyan K. (C) 77. Serobyan A. 91. Sandro Lima 11. Banjaqui Z.
Substitutes
8. Baluta T. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 12. Etim M. 19. Heriberto Tavares 1. Maxim A. (G) 7. Nsimba S. 18. Radulescu M. 90. Sava R. (G) 24. Stevanovic N. 23. Teles	90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 8. Balanta J. A. 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 5. Luis Felipe 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 14. Pereira B. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Malis A. ⚽, Oliveira H. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Bancu N. ⚽, Cicaldau A. (A),
39', Matei D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Romanchuk O. 🟨,
62', Matei D. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
62', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
69', Rus A. 🟨,
69', Benny ↓, Franca Carlos ↑,
69', Cicaldau A. ↓, Teles ↑,
75', Oliveira H. ↓, Balanta J. A. ↑,
77', Etim M. 🟨,
80', Muradyan K. ↓, Carlier M. ↑,
80', Serobyan A. ↓, Tera A. ↑,
80', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Shaghoyan Z. ↑,
85', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Baluta T. ↑,
85', Baiaram S. ↓, Basceanu L. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Uni Craiova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ararat-Armenia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uni Craiova is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ararat-Armenia: 0.28%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
16.08.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
09.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Argeș Pitești	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploieşti	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLTW
- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
15.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Van	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Celje - Ararat-Armenia	2:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
07.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Celje	2:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
01.08.26	Gandzasar - Ararat-Armenia	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW

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