Match Info

Date: 14 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Ararat		Shkendija Tetovo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.3
	2.75	3.35	2.4
	2.75	3.15	2.43
	2.84	3.21	2.41
				Watch
	2.81	3.22	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.07)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	2.41 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat
33.4%

Draw
28.3%

Shkendija Tetovo
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ararat's form might have worsened.

Shkendija Tetovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shkendija Tetovo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ararat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shkendija Tetovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	29%	45.2%

Ararat - Shkendija Tetovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ararat will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Shkendija will win (votes: 14 - 45.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shkendija: 27.7% – 62.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Ararat has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shkendija is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Shkendija have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Shkendija to win the game is with odds 2.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ararat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ararat Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Shkendija Tetovo - Ararat	2:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
28.05.22	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
24.05.22	Pyunik - Ararat	1:0 ✺
20.05.22	Ararat - BKMA Yerevan	1:2 ✺
15.05.22	Alashkert - Ararat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shkendija Tetovo
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Shkendija Tetovo - Ararat	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Shkendija Tetovo	3:0 ✺
21.06.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Shkendija Tetovo	3:3 ✺
18.06.22	Maribor - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1 ✺
12.06.22	Ferencvárosi - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Shkendija Tetovo - Ararat	2:0

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