Match Info

Date: 15 July 2021, Thursday


	Ararat		Videoton

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.5	1.53	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.65
	5.2	3.6	1.54
	5.06	3.67	1.57
	5.5	3.4	1.55
	5.25	3.82	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (3.69)	3.62 ↑ (3.36)	1.57 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat
17.3%

Draw
25%

Videoton
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.6%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.8%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ararat's form might have worsened.

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Videoton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.3%	3.3%	93.3%

Ararat - Videoton Predictions

Users Predictions: Videoton will win (84 of 90 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.18% – 98.48%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gyumri City Stadium. 1st leg result: 1-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ararat could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fehérvár is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ararat won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ararat Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.07.21	Videoton - Ararat	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
28.05.21	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	5:2 ✺
25.05.21	Ararat - Alashkert	0:1 ✺
22.05.21	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	2:0 ✺
19.05.21	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLLT
- Videoton FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.07.21	Videoton - Ararat	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.21	Osijek - Videoton	1:1 ✺
24.06.21	Videoton - Rostov	2:2 ✺
20.06.21	Orenburg - Videoton	2:0 ✺
17.06.21	Lafnitz - Videoton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.07.21	Videoton - Ararat	1:1

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