Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...


	Ararat		Shirak Gyumri

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.95	2.85
	2.48	3.10	2.48
	2.43	3.09	3.02
	2.7	3.22	2.46	Watch
	2.36	3.04	2.81	Watch
	2.35	3.15	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.65)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	2.74 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat
37.3%

Draw
29.4%

Shirak Gyumri
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.6%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Shirak Gyumri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shirak Gyumri than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Ararat - Shirak Gyumri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 8. Aleqyan P. 30. Aslanyan A. 18. Berte M. 6. Chukwu O. 10. Grigoryan A. (C) 7. Handzongo P. 3. Khachumyan A. 55. Lima G. 17. Movsesyan E. 4. Samsonyan V.	45. Ermakov V. (G) 7. Janoyan N. 10. Kodia D. 11. Manukyan S. 71. Mesamba B. 6. Misakyan R. 20. Mkrtchyan R. 4. Mnatsakanyan H. 2. Pahlevanyan H. 5. Sumbulyan T. 22. Tarloyan M.
Substitutes
11. Alaverdyan N. 77. Aleksanyan A. 94. Bakayoko S. J. 42. Fofana M. 38. Kante M. 13. Lobusov N. (G) 20. Meite A. 25. Ouattara A. 21. Simonyan G. 19. Toure S. 32. Ukadike D. 27. Vardanyan A.	25. Akulyan G. 8. Darbinyan L. 18. Ghukasyan S. 77. Ghumashyan G. 16. Harutyunyan K. 53. Harutyunyan M. 3. Karagulyan R. 27. Karamoko Fofana A. 55. Karapetyan L. (G) 1. Petrosyan N. (G) 66. Sargsyan V. 19. Tsarukyan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Handzongo P. ⚽, Movsesyan E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Grigoryan A. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mnatsakanyan H. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ararat has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:24 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ararat against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 17:14 goals (averaging 1.7:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shirak Gyumri	11	3	2	6	12:14	-2	11
8	Ararat	11	3	2	6	10:18	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ararat Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
11.10.26	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Ararat - Syunik	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gandzasar - Ararat	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWLL
- Shirak Gyumri
Armenian Premier League
12.10.26	Syunik - Shirak Gyumri	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Pyunik - Shirak Gyumri	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Shirak Gyumri - Sardarapat	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Van - Shirak Gyumri	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
01.05.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	0:2
09.11.25	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	0:0
12.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	4:2
08.04.25	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	1:3
04.04.25	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	1:2
17.08.24	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	1:2
15.05.24	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat	0:1

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