The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Urartu Yerevan 60.3%
Draw 22.6%
Ararat 17.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.6%
22.3%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
21.5%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Ararat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Urartu Yerevan - Ararat Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Mishiev A. (G) 6. Alef Santos 21. Bashoyan L. 4. Ghazaryan A. 28. Ishibashi K. 77. Lulukyan G. 10. Melkonyan K. 9. Rajani M. 44. Tsymbalyuk Y. 27. Velosa M. 15. Veremeev V.
1. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 8. Aleqyan P. 30. Aslanyan A. 18. Berte M. 6. Chukwu O. 10. Grigoryan A. (C) 7. Handzongo P. 3. Khachumyan A. 55. Lima G. 17. Movsesyan E. 4. Samsonyan V.
Substitutes
8. Aghasaryan N. 99. Ayvazyan K. 18. Bratkov A. 66. Dadamyan Z. 33. Dragojevic A. (G) 16. Gishyan N. (G) . Manukyan P. 22. Mirzoyan M. 7. Mkrtchyan S. 3. Piloyan E. 91. van Lingen O. 11. Vardanyan E.
11. Alaverdyan N. 77. Aleksanyan A. 94. Bakayoko S. J. 42. Fofana M. 9. Hovhannisyan B. 38. Kante M. 13. Lobusov N. (G) 20. Meite A. 25. Ouattara A. 19. Toure S. 32. Ukadike D. 27. Vardanyan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Aslanyan A. ⚽,
20', Samsonyan V. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Ishibashi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Melkonyan K. ↓, Piloyan E. ↑,
62', Alef Santos ↓, Aghasaryan N. ↑,
62', Bashoyan L. ↓, Mirzoyan M. ↑,
65', Aleqyan P. ↓, Bakayoko S. J. ↑,
73', Tsymbalyuk Y. ↓, Ayvazyan K. ↑,
74', Grigoryan A. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
74', Movsesyan E. ↓, Alaverdyan N. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Lulukyan G. ⚽,
82', Handzongo P. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Bakayoko S. J. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 5.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Bookmakers give the edge to Urartu for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Urartu has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:12 (averaging 1.5:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Urartu against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:7 goals (averaging 1.9:0.8 per game).