Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	Ararat-Armenia		Noravank

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.4	8
	1.33	4.1	7
	1.31	4.5	8.2
	1.35	4.84	8.49
	1.3	4.33	9
	1.33	4.7	8.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	4.48 ↑ (4.33)	8.22 ↑ (8.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
68.6%

Draw
20.3%

Noravank
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

21.2%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77%

24.2%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Noravank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ararat-Armenia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noravank than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Ararat Armenia - Noravank Predictions

Users Predictions: Ararat-Armenia will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ararat-Armenia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Noravank is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ararat-Armenia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ararat-Armenia have a series of home games.

In this match Ararat-Armenia is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ararat-Armenia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ararat-Armenia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
29.04.22	Ararat-Armenia - Pyunik	1:1 ✺
25.04.22	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
19.04.22	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	3:1 ✺
08.04.22	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWTWT
- FC Noravank
Armenian Premier League
25.04.22	Pyunik - Noravank	3:2 ✺
20.04.22	Noravank - Urartu Yerevan	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	BKMA Yerevan - Noravank	0:1 ✺
12.04.22	Noravank - Van	7:1 ✺
06.04.22	Alashkert - Noravank	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
10.03.22	Noravank - Ararat-Armenia	0:2
Armenian Cup
24.11.21	Noravank - Ararat-Armenia	2:1
Armenian Premier League
06.11.21	Ararat-Armenia - Noravank	2:1
20.08.21	Noravank - Ararat-Armenia	0:2

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