Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan)


	Ararat-Armenia		Pyunik

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.1	3.45
	1.99	3.15	4.06
	1.93	3.18	3.93	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.01	3.05	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.14)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)	3.68 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
46%

Draw
29.3%

Pyunik
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Pyunik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pyunik than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	18.7%	12.5%

Ararat Armenia - Pyunik Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Pyunik will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ararat-Armenia: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 2. Oliveira H. 3. Junior Julio 4. Queiros J. 13. Hovhannisyan K. (C) 88. Welton 47. Malis A. 77. Serobyan A. 20. Tera A. 11. Banjaqui Z. 25. Ndour A.	16. Avagyan H. (C) 11. Dashyan A. 2. Alemao 3. Kainourgios N. 5. James Santos 18. Hovhannisyan K. 22. Islamovic S. 10. Moreno Sanchez J. 33. Ocansey E. 25. Kulikov D. 90. Yansane M.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 33. Arrassi B. 90. Ayongo P. 12. Badalyan S. (G) 9. Eloyan A. 16. Grigoryan E. 5. Hakobyan H. 36. Makhsudyan V. 19. Muradyan K. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 44. Petrosyan V. 7. Shaghoyan Z.	17. Afyan V. 13. Aghbalyan D. 71. Buchnev S. (G) 88. Darbinyan R. 20. Lucas Villela 7. Malakyan E. 19. Metoyan S. 77. Miguel G. 99. Noubissi M. 8. Tarakhchyan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Banjaqui Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Hovhannisyan K. 🟨,
69', Tera A. ↓, Muradyan K. ↑,
69', Ndour A. ↓, Ayongo P. ↑,
70', Yansane M. ↓, Noubissi M. ↑,
70', Islamovic S. ↓, Lucas Villela ↑,
77', Kulikov D. ↓, Tarakhchyan G. ↑,
77', Moreno Sanchez J. ↓, Afyan V. ↑,
79', Serobyan A. ↓, Shaghoyan Z. ↑,
81', Ocansey E. ↓, Metoyan S. ↑,
89', Welton ↓, Ambartsumyan A. ↑,
89', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Eloyan A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 3.

Ararat-Armenia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pyunik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pyunik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ararat-Armenia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ararat-Armenia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	17:8	9	19
3	Pyunik Yerevan	8	5	3	0	18:8	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
03.05.26	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:2 ✺
Armenian Cup
29.04.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
25.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	4:0 ✺
20.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:4 ✺
Armenian Cup
16.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWL
- Pyunik Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
03.05.26	Noah Yerevan - Pyunik	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ararat - Pyunik	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Pyunik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
11.04.26	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	0:2
25.11.25	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	1:0
Armenian Cup
29.04.25	Ararat-Armenia - Pyunik	1:2 penalties
15.04.25	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	0:2
Armenian Super Cup
09.04.25	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	0:4
Armenian Premier League
28.03.25	Ararat-Armenia - Pyunik	3:2
01.03.25	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	1:2

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