Match Info
Carioca 2 - Round 11Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Araruama |
|
Cabofriense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.70 |
2.60 |
2.65 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.92 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.80 |
2.66 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.96 |
2.55 |
2.80 |
 Watch |
 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.64 |
2.8 |
2.65 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.65) |
2.72 ↓
(2.84) |
2.7 ↑
(2.66) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Araruama
33.1% | Draw
33.3% | Cabofriense
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araruama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Cabofriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Araruama - Cabofriense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Savio Santos ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 8).In recent matches, Araruama has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Cabofriense has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Cabofriense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Araruama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Araruama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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