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Current Win Probability
Araz Naxçıvan 19.3%
Draw 24.1%
Qarabağ Agdam 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15%
23.9%
61.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.9%
24.1%
61.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Avram C. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 5. Alxasov 6. Andrade P. 70. Boli C. 3. Hasanalizada B. 7. Keyta H. 4. Mammadov R. 23. Rodrigues N. 10. Santos F. 29. Wanderson
1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 11. Addai E. 27. Bayramov T. 6. Chriso 18. Dani Bolt 55. Huseynov B. (C) 20. Kady Borges 21. Kashchuk O. 15. Leandro Andrade 3. Mmaee S. 22. Qurbanly M.
Substitutes
94. Ahmadli T. (G) 24. Ahmadzada M. 77. Bruno Franco 26. Buludov O. 19. Cohen B. 8. Diniyev C. 76. Hasanov S. (G) 14. Iskandarov U. 22. Mustafayev E. 17. Paro I. 2. Qarayev Q. 11. Simakala B.
97. Buntic F. (G) 32. Cabrayilzada H. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 17. Duran C. 30. Huseynov A. 99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 81. Medina K. 13. Mustafazada B. 35. Pedro Bicalho 77. Sheydayev R. 10. Zoubir A.
Coaches
Bakshiev E.
Qurbanov Q.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Bayramov T. ⚽,
11', Alxasov 🟨,
27', Alxasov 🟥,
28', 0 - 2, Bayramov T. (Pen),
32', Rodrigues N. ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Boli C. ↓, Simakala B. ↑,
50', Abbasov U. 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Qurbanly M. ⚽,
59', Wanderson ↓, Ahmadzada M. ↑,
60', Santos F. 🟨,
65', 0 - 4, Bayramov T. (Pen),
70', Qurbanly M. ↓, Duran C. ↑,
70', Huseynov B. ↓, Matheus Silva ↑,
70', Leandro Andrade ↓, Zoubir A. ↑,
70', Bayramov T. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
70', Kady Borges ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
71', Abbasov U. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
85', 0 - 5, Chriso ⚽,
87', Andrade P. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 1.
Araz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Qarabağ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Araz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Araz has had a series of away games.
In this match, Qarabağ is considered a favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
Azerbaijan
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Avram C. (G) 
Abbasov U. (C) 
Andrade P. 
Boli C. 
Rodrigues N. 
Santos F. 
Addai E. 
Chriso 
Kashchuk O. 
Mmaee S. 
Cohen B. 
Paro I. 
Simakala B. 
Buntic F. (G) 
Duran C. 
Kochalski M. (G) 
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