Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Azersun Arena (Baku)

Referee: Jalilov J. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Qarabağ Agdam		Sumgayit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.17	6.5	11
	1.39	4.35	6.3	Watch
	1.42	4.45	7.77
	1.42	4.40	6.72	Watch
	1.18	5.8	15
	1.49	4.6	5.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.15)	5.02 ↓ (6.22)	8.74 ↓ (13.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
70.3%

Draw
18.9%

Sumgayit
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.7%

14.6%

6.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qarabağ Agdam's form might have worsened.

Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Sumgayit (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sumgayit (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 11. Addai E. 27. Bayramov T. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 6. Chriso 18. Dani Bolt 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. (C) 21. Kashchuk O. 3. Mmaee S. 22. Qurbanly M.	1. Cannatov M. (G) 8. Abdullazada S. (C) 7. Ahmadzada R. 11. Jankovic A. 80. Keffel 19. Kehat R. 25. Moumini A. 14. Pinto P. 9. Ramalingom A. 72. Senhadji R. 23. Vasquez R.
Substitutes
90. Akhundzade N. 97. Buntic F. (G) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 8. Jankovic M. 20. Kady Borges 99. Kochalski M. (G) 15. Leandro Andrade 2. Matheus Silva 13. Mustafazada B. 35. Pedro Bicalho 10. Zoubir A.	21. Ahmadzada N. 66. Aliyev R. 56. Arixov A. (G) 22. Farzullayev K. (G) 64. Feyziyev K. 71. Murata M. 10. Ninkovic N. 75. Orujov N. 97. Pashayev V. 30. Quliyev K. 6. Rustamli R. 20. Suleymanly A.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Ilic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Jankovic A. 🟨,
65', Keffel ↓, Suleymanly A. ↑,
65', Jankovic A. ↓, Murata M. ↑,
67', Kashchuk O. ↓, Zoubir A. ↑,
67', Dani Bolt ↓, Leandro Andrade ↑,
67', Qurbanly M. ↓, Kady Borges ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Vasquez R. ⚽,
73', Cabrayilzada H. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
77', Kehat R. ↓, Rustamli R. ↑,
77', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
84', Vasquez R. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
85', Rustamli R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 4.

Qarabağ is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sumgayit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Qarabağ is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 53:6. (average 2.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
19.08.25	Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
12.08.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo	5:1 ✺
05.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Shelbourne - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.08.25	Sumgayit - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
23.05.25	Səbail - Sumgayit	1:4 ✺
17.05.25	Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Kapaz - Sumgayit	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
04.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	2:0
03.03.25	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2
16.12.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	5:0
06.10.24	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1
28.04.24	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0
25.02.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	2:0
08.12.23	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	1:6

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