Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Dalga Arena (Baku)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Araz Naxçıvan		Omonia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.93
	3.55	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.64	3.27	2.04
	3.73	3.4	2.09	Watch
	2.97	3.24	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.85)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.08 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araz Naxçıvan
26.6%

Draw
28.5%

Omonia
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Araz Naxçıvan's form might have worsened.

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omonia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	27.8%	50%

Araz Naxçıvan - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Omonia will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Araz (votes: 2 - 25%). Omonia (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Araz (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Araz (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Omonia (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Avram C. (G) 77. Bruno Franco 3. Hasanalizada B. 17. Paro I. 34. Abbasov U. (C) 6. Andrade P. 19. Cohen B. 29. Wanderson 70. Boli C. 11. Simakala B. 10. Santos F.	40. Fabiano Freitas (G) 8. Jovetic S. 7. Semedo W. 5. Coulibaly S. 3. Kitsos F. 21. Masouras G. 14. Maric M. 11. Ewandro 75. Loizou L. 31. Kousoulos I. (C) 30. Panagiotou N.
Substitutes
94. Ahmadli T. (G) 5. Alxasov 26. Buludov O. 14. Iskandarov U. 7. Keyta H. 44. Mammadov R. 2. Qarayev Q. 16. Ramon Machado 23. Rodrigues N.	2. Dionkou A. 6. Eiting C. 44. Erakovic N. 24. Khammas A. 90. Konstantinidis C. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 33. Musialowski M. 85. Neofytou A. 91. Panagi K. 27. Simic S. 9. Stepinski M. 23. Uzoho F. (G)
Coaches
Bakshiev E.	Berg H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Loizou L. ⚽, Ewandro (A),
22', 0 - 2, Loizou L. ⚽,
25', Boli C. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Paro I. ↓, Qarayev Q. ↑,
46', Cohen B. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Ewandro ⚽, Jovetic S. (A),
58', 0 - 4, Jovetic S. ⚽, Ewandro (A),
63', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
64', Jovetic S. 🟨,
66', Andrade P. 🟨,
69', Maric M. 🟨,
70', Jovetic S. ↓, Stepinski M. ↑,
76', Keyta H. 🟨,
76', Abbasov U. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
76', Hasanalizada B. ↓, Mammadov R. ↑,
82', Loizou L. ↓, Neofytou A. ↑,
82', Semedo W. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
86', Ewandro ↓, Eiting C. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Dalga Arena.

Omonia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Omonia might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Omonia - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Aris - Araz Naxçıvan	2:2 ✺
24.07.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Aris	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.25	Konyaspor - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.05.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLLW
- Omonia Nicosia
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Omonia	0:4 ✺
24.07.25	Omonia - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	AEK Athens - Omonia	1:0 ✺
09.07.25	Omonia - Maccabi Netanya	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Omonia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL

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