Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Greece	Nova Sports Prime


	Aris		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.5	9.5	Watch
	1.36	4.4	8
	1.3	5	9	Watch
	1.33	5.09	9.3
	1.33	4.75	8.5
	1.33	5.16	10.4	Watch
	1.29	4.7	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 (1.32)	4.8 ↑ (4.6)	8.89 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
70.3%

Draw
19.3%

Araz Naxçıvan
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	5.9%	23.5%

Aris - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Araz will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Araz (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Araz (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Araz (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Majkic L. (G) 27. Fadiga N. 4. Fabiano (C) 24. Alvaro P. 37. Mendyl H. 28. Dudu 10. Racic U. 8. Monchu 70. Gianniotas G. 18. Morutan O. 80. Moron L.	12. Avram C. (G) 77. Bruno Franco 3. Hasanalizada B. 4. Igor Ribeiro 34. Abbasov U. (C) 29. Wanderson 19. Cohen B. 6. Andrade P. 70. Boli C. 11. Simakala B. 10. Santos F.
Substitutes
33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 14. Brabec J. 41. Charoupas K. 99. Diandy C. 17. Frydek M. 97. Jensen F. 9. Kadewere T. 91. Karaj E. (G) 77. Panagidis M. 15. Tejero A.	94. Ahmadli T. (G) 5. Alxasov 26. Buludov O. 14. Iskandarov U. 7. Keyta H. 22. Mustafayev E. 17. Paro I. 2. Qarayev Q. 16. Ramon Machado 23. Rodrigues N.
Coaches
Ouzounidis M.	Bakshiev E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Mendyl H. 🟨,
3', Santos F. 🟨,
3', Fabiano 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Boli C. ⚽, Santos F. (A),
17', Bruno Franco 🟨,
36', Monchu 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Santos F. (Pen),
44', Abbasov U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fadiga N. ↓, Tejero A. ↑,
46', Mendyl H. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
46', Dudu ↓, Diandy C. ↑,
52', Igor Ribeiro 🟥,
52', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
54', Cohen B. ↓, Paro I. ↑,
56', Abbasov U. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
58', Morutan O. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Fabiano ⚽, Gianniotas G. (A),
65', Wanderson 🟨,
67', Racic U. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
69', Santos F. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
69', Simakala B. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
89', Boli C. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Monchu ⚽,
90+1', Gianniotas G. 🟨,
90+5', Frydek M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Araz Naxçıvan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aris is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Aris	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Aris - Anorthosis	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Aris	3:2 ✺
03.07.25	Livingston - Aris	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
10.05.25	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Aris	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.25	Konyaspor - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.05.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Aris	2:1

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