Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Shamakhi City Stadium (Shamakhi)

Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Shamakhi		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.1	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.22
	2.18	3.31	3.05	Watch
	2.14	3.05	3.1
	2.11	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	3.15 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamakhi
42.4%

Draw
28.8%

Araz Naxçıvan
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (C) 10. Adilkhanov E. 9. Akhvlediani T. 13. Apolinario R. 80. Ismayilov H. 3. Jota 97. Mammadov O. 25. Marques F. 52. Moumini A. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 5. Rustamov E.	99. Ahmadli T. (G) 6. Andrade P. (C) 26. Buludov O. 5. Dumancic L. 23. Fernandez A. 36. Kane M. 27. Letic B. 11. Mara M. 7. Muradov R. 2. Rzayev A. 9. Salyanskiy A.
Substitutes
66. Bagyrzada C. 14. Cahangirov U. 8. Dego D. 17. Muradly S. 96. Qarazoglu N. (G) 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 88. Shiraliyev H. 19. Shuaibu A. 7. Suleymanov E. 77. Tahmazli O. 2. Xeyrullayev F.	8. Ahmadzada M. 13. Alizada Q. 1. Augusto A. (G) 10. Boli C. 12. Bruno Franco 22. Hasanov R. 14. Isgandarov U. 77. Mehraliyev N. 29. Nuriyev C. 21. Piriyev I. 19. Sudi A.
Coaches
Bagirov A.	Huseynov C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Apolinario R. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 1, Salyanskiy A. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Apolinario R. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 11th in the Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 0.

In recent outings, Shamakhi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Araz is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Araz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shamakhi has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shamakhi holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Shamakhi has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:9 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shamakhi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shamakhi	8	3	4	1	12:9	3	13
12	Araz	8	0	2	6	6:17	-11	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.09.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTTL
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.09.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	5:0 ✺
15.08.26	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
18.03.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1
21.12.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi	2:0
27.09.25	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1
17.05.25	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1
14.03.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi	1:1
19.10.24	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1
10.08.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi	1:0

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