Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 23

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday


	Araz Saatlı		Karvan

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.52	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.44
	4.79	4.44	1.55
	4.5	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.79)	4.34 ↓ (4.44)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araz Saatlı
18.8%

Draw
20.9%

Karvan
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

20.9%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

19.8%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araz Saatlı has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Saatlı than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Sanoqo I. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Kings P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 3, Mushtagov I. ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, Yusifli R. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Mammadov O. ⚽,
89', 2 - 4, Qasymov E. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Karvan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Karvan is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Araz Saatlı won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Araz Saatlı won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araz Saatlı
Azerbaijan First Division
18.04.24	Zagatala - Araz Saatlı	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Araz Saatlı - Difai Ağsu	0:4 ✺
04.04.24	İrəvan - Araz Saatlı	1:4 ✺
28.03.24	Araz Saatlı - Mingachevir	4:0 ✺
13.03.24	İmişli - Araz Saatlı	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWWL
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
18.04.24	Karvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:1 ✺
11.04.24	Karvan - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Zagatala - Karvan	1:1 ✺
28.03.24	Karvan - Difai Ağsu	0:0 ✺
14.03.24	Mingachevir - Karvan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
21.02.24	Karvan - Araz Saatlı	1:0
01.11.23	Araz Saatlı - Karvan	1:5

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