Match Info

I Liqa - Round 27

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Mingachevir		Karvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.34
				Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.32	Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)	3.3 (3.3)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
34.7%

Draw
27%

Karvan
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Mingachevir - Karvan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mingachevir (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Abba U. (Pen),
19', Teymurov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 2 - 0, Aliyev N. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Kings P. ⚽,

Preview

Karvan is Qualified for Premier League

Mingachevir has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Karvan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
16.05.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	1:3 ✺
09.05.25	Mingachevir - İmişli	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir	1:4 ✺
24.04.25	Mingachevir - Baku Sporting	4:0 ✺
17.04.25	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWWL
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
16.05.25	Karvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
09.05.25	Zagatala - Karvan	3:0 ✺
02.05.25	Karvan - Gabala	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Difai Ağsu - Karvan	3:5 ✺
27.03.25	Karvan - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
19.12.24	Karvan - Mingachevir	5:0
18.09.24	Mingachevir - Karvan	1:3
14.03.24	Mingachevir - Karvan	1:0

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