Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I LIQA - ROUND 12

Date: 25 December 2023, Monday


	Araz Saatlı		İrəvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	8.32	6.79	1.14
	8.32	6.79	1.14
	11.5	6	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.38 ↑ (7.32)	6.53 ↑ (4.5)	1.15 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araz Saatlı
9.5%

Draw
13.6%

İrəvan
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

20.1%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

16.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araz Saatlı has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

İrəvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İrəvan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Saatlı than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Araz Saatlı, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İrəvan than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İrəvan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Araz Saatlı has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches İrəvan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

İrəvan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match İrəvan is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Araz Saatlı won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Araz Saatlı won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araz Saatlı
Azerbaijan First Division
14.12.23	Mingachevir - Araz Saatlı	3:1 ✺
07.12.23	Araz Saatlı - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
28.11.23	Araz Saatlı - İrəvan	1:4 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
23.11.23	Araz Saatlı - MOIK Baku	0:1 ✺
10.11.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Araz Saatlı	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- İrəvan FK
Azerbaijan Cup
19.12.23	İrəvan - Araz Naxçıvan	2:8 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
14.12.23	İrəvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:2 ✺
06.12.23	Karvan - İrəvan	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
28.11.23	Araz Saatlı - İrəvan	1:4 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.11.23	İrəvan - Difai Ağsu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
28.11.23	Araz Saatlı - İrəvan	1:4
Azerbaijan First Division
05.10.23	İrəvan - Araz Saatlı	7:0

Araz Saatlı - İrəvan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide