Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: AZERBAIJAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	İrəvan		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10.5	6	1.19
				Watch
	11.59	5.93	1.17
	13.25	6.25	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.78 ↑ (6.83)	6.06 ↑ (4.25)	1.18 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İrəvan
7.7%

Draw
15%

Araz Naxçıvan
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

21.5%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İrəvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İrəvan's form might have worsened.

Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Araz Naxçıvan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İrəvan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İrəvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Araz Naxçıvan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

İrəvan - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Araz Naxçıvan is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İrəvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
14.12.23	İrəvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:2 ✺
06.12.23	Karvan - İrəvan	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
28.11.23	Araz Saatlı - İrəvan	1:4 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.11.23	İrəvan - Difai Ağsu	3:1 ✺
09.11.23	MOIK Baku - İrəvan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWT
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.12.23	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Zira - Araz Naxçıvan	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Araz Naxçıvan - Səbail	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
10.11.23	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTTL

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