Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Archena Sport		Ciudad de Murcia

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	2.7	3	2.28
	2.75	2.85	2.38
	2.85	2.9	2.4
	2.92	2.97	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.51)	2.98 ↑ (2.81)	2.32 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Archena Sport
31.5%

Draw
30%

Ciudad de Murcia
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

23.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Archena Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ciudad de Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Archena Sport than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Archena Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Archena Sport - Ciudad de Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Archena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ciudad de Murcia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Archena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ciudad de Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ciudad de Murcia to win the game is with odds 2.17.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Archena Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.12.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Archena Sport	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Archena Sport - Bullense	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Cartagena B - Archena Sport	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Archena Sport - La Unión	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Lorca Deportiva - Archena Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.12.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Huércal-Overa	3:0 ✺
28.11.21	UCAM Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	1:3 ✺
14.11.21	Mazarrón - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTW

Archena Sport - Ciudad de Murcia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Archena Sport - Ciudad de Murcia Predictions

Preview

Form

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