Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Ciudad de Murcia		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.27	2.71	3.29
	2.28	2.72	3.29
	2.2	3.14	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.87)	2.83 ↓ (3.24)	3.21 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Murcia
40.2%

Draw
31.8%

Caravaca
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ciudad de Murcia's form might have worsened.

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ciudad de Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 13).

Ciudad de Murcia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caravaca is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ciudad de Murcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Caravaca have a series of guest games.

Ciudad de Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ciudad de Murcia to win the game is with odds 2.21.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Ciudad de Murcia - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Algar - Ciudad de Murcia	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Plus Ultra	5:1 ✺
30.09.23	Bullense - Ciudad de Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWTWW
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
29.10.23	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	UCAM Murcia B - Caravaca	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Algar - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.01.23	Caravaca - Ciudad de Murcia	0:0
11.09.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	0:1
03.04.22	Caravaca - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0
21.11.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	1:3

Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide