Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 30

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Arconatese		Casatese

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.45	3.53	1.87
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (5.73)	3.47 ↓ (3.75)	1.84 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arconatese
25.1%

Draw
25.9%

Casatese
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arconatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arconatese's performance.

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casatese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arconatese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arconatese - Casatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arconatese won 2.

Recent matches Arconatese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casatese in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Casatese is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arconatese won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Arconatese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.02.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Arconatese	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Arconatese - Vigasio	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Club Milano - Arconatese	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Arconatese - Crema	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Pro Sesto - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWLT
- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.02.25	Casatese - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Magenta - Casatese	1:5 ✺
09.02.25	Vigasio - Casatese	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Casatese - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Crema - Casatese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
24.03.24	Casatese - Arconatese	1:1
12.11.23	Arconatese - Casatese	3:2
14.05.23	Casatese - Arconatese	2:1
15.01.23	Arconatese - Casatese	1:0
11.09.22	Casatese - Arconatese	1:0
29.01.22	Casatese - Arconatese	1:1
19.09.21	Arconatese - Casatese	2:1

Arconatese - Casatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide