Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 25

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday


	Crema		Casatese

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.25
	3.05	3	2.29
	3.11	3.1	2.34
	3.11	3.01	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.03	3.13	2.23
	3.05	3.05	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.19)	2.27 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
30.1%

Draw
29.9%

Casatese
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crema's form might have worsened.

Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crema - Casatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Astuti P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crema won 1.

Crema in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Casatese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Casatese have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Crema won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Crema won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group B
25.01.25	Magenta - Crema	0:1 ✺
20.01.25	Crema - Vigasio	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Castellanzese - Crema	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Crema - Cavenago Fanfulla	3:1 ✺
05.01.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Crema	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWTWW
- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
25.01.25	Casatese - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ospitaletto - Casatese	1:1 ✺
15.01.25	Casatese - Club Milano	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Casatese - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Casatese - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
02.10.24	Casatese - Crema	2:0
05.05.24	Casatese - Crema	0:1
20.12.23	Crema - Casatese	0:3
06.03.22	Crema - Casatese	0:0
24.10.21	Casatese - Crema	2:0
26.04.21	Crema - Casatese	1:0
10.01.21	Casatese - Crema	2:3

Crema - Casatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide