Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 28

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Magenta		Casatese

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.3	1.84
	3.78	3.15	1.86
	3.98	3.35	1.86
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.08	3.25	1.83
	3.95	3.3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.5)	3.28 ↑ (3.04)	1.83 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magenta
22.9%

Draw
27.6%

Casatese
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.9%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

28.6%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casatese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magenta than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Magenta - Casatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Gningue M. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Gningue M. ⚽,
31', 0 - 3, Gningue M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 4, Gningue M. ⚽,
73', 0 - 5, Gningue M. ⚽,
89', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Magenta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Casatese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magenta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Magenta have a series of home games.

Casatese will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Casatese to win the game is with odds 2.07.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Magenta
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.02.25	Magenta - Vigasio	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Club Milano - Magenta	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Magenta - Crema	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Magenta - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Magenta - Folgore Caratese	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.02.25	Vigasio - Casatese	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Casatese - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Crema - Casatese	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Casatese - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ospitaletto - Casatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWT

Magenta - Casatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide