Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Arcángel San Miguel		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	3.45	3	2.02
	3.43	2.92	2.15
	3.51	3.03	2.15	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	3.75	2.94	2.02
	3.4	2.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (4.17)	2.93 ↓ (3.31)	2.1 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arcángel San Miguel
25.9%

Draw
30.9%

Atlético Paso
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

27.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

28.8%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arcángel San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Paso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arcángel San Miguel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Paso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arcángel San Miguel - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

San Miguel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Atlético Paso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético Paso has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlético Paso is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	San Miguel	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arcángel San Miguel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.02.26	Tenisca - Arcángel San Miguel	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Real Unión	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Tamaraceite - Arcángel San Miguel	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Las Palmas C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTTTW
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.02.26	Atlético Paso - Tenisca	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Real Unión - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Paso - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Paso - Herbania	4:2 ✺
21.12.25	Atlético Paso - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLWWT

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