Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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Arcángel San Miguel |
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Herbania |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.85 |
3.25 |
3.75 |
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1.09 |
6.87 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
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1.85 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
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1.88 |
3.44 |
4.07 |
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1.84 |
3.25 |
4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.18) |
3.98 ↑
(3.25) |
8.14 ↑
(3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arcángel San Miguel
61.1% | Draw
26.1% | Herbania
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arcángel San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arcángel San Miguel's performance.Herbania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Herbania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-17.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arcángel San Miguel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (+15.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herbania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Recent performances by San Miguel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Herbania has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Herbania has had a series of away games. San Miguel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | San Miguel | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 | | | 06.09.25 | Herbania - Arcángel San Miguel | 2:2 | | 04.05.25 | Herbania - Arcángel San Miguel | 1:0 | | 21.12.24 | Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania | 4:1 |
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