Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Tamaraceite		Arcángel San Miguel

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.35	8.1
	1.37	4.47	7.6
	1.36	4.39	8.04
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.31	4.35	9.25
	1.33	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	4.44 ↑ (4.1)	8.17 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
68.4%

Draw
20.5%

Arcángel San Miguel
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamaraceite's performance.

Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamaraceite that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Tamaraceite - Arcángel San Miguel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

San Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tamaraceite has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tamaraceite is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Tamaraceite won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	San Miguel	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
18.01.26	Atlético Paso - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Herbania - Tamaraceite	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tenisca - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Tamaraceite - Real Unión	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Lanzarote - Tamaraceite	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- CD Arcángel San Miguel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
17.01.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arcángel San Miguel - Las Palmas C	1:0 ✺
06.01.26	Marino - Arcángel San Miguel	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Panadería Pulido - Arcángel San Miguel	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Telde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
13.09.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Tamaraceite	0:2
18.01.25	Tamaraceite - Arcángel San Miguel	2:0

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