Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Arcángel San Miguel		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.4	1.8
	3.9	3.39	1.86
	3.88	3.42	1.86
	4.04	3.35	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.84)	3.39 ↑ (3.39)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arcángel San Miguel
23.3%

Draw
26.9%

Mensajero
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

26.3%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by San Miguel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mensajero is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mensajero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensajero is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arcángel San Miguel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
22.11.25	Tenerife C - Arcángel San Miguel	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Arcángel San Miguel - San Bartolomé	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	UD San Fernando - Arcángel San Miguel	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Arucas	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Arcángel San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLLWT
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
16.11.25	Tenisca - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mensajero - Real Unión	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Mensajero - Herbania	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Las Palmas C - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.03.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero	1:1

Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide