Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 33Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday
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Arcángel San Miguel |
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Panadería Pulido |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.4 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
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2.32 |
3.15 |
2.72 |
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2.26 |
3.31 |
2.73 |
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2.92 |
3.30 |
2.30 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
3.3 |
2.75 |
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2.29 |
3.22 |
2.82 |
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2.65 |
2.95 |
2.18 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.81) |
3.16 ↑
(3.1) |
2.6 ↑
(2.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arcángel San Miguel
36.9% | Draw
28.5% | Panadería Pulido
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arcángel San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Panadería Pulido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arcángel San Miguel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Arcángel San Miguel - Panadería Pulido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Panadería has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Panadería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | San Miguel | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Panaderia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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