The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ardoi 59%
Draw 25.2%
Lerines 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
24.1%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
23.6%
13.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Lerines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lerines than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Ardoi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lerines is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).