Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Ardoi		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.6	2.8	2.08
	3.25	3.1	2.08
	3.83	3.03	2.11
	3.52	3.26	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ardoi
25.7%

Draw
30.3%

Osasuna B
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

21.6%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Osasuna B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ardoi - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Osasuna B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ardoi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.10.21	Sestao - Ardoi	4:0 ✺
09.10.21	Ardoi - Racing Santander B	0:3 ✺
03.10.21	Cayón - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Ardoi - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Náxara - Ardoi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTTW
- Osasuna B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.10.21	Osasuna B - Racing Rioja	2:2 ✺
09.10.21	Burgos Promesas - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:2 ✺
25.09.21	San Juan - Osasuna B	0:2 ✺
19.09.21	Osasuna B - Real Sociedad C	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
27.01.19	Osasuna B - Ardoi	3:1

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