Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Osasuna B		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.42	3.05	2.82
	2.37	3.1	3.1
	2.5	3.08	2.89	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.35	2.92	3.02
	2.3	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
38.5%

Draw
30.3%

Arenas Club de Getxo
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stamatakis D. (G) 12. Lucero R. 4. Espejo D. 23. Serrano M. 21. Ruiz R. C. 11. Pedroarena M. 6. Echegoyen M. 16. Auria M. 10. Rico M. 8. Yoldi A. 19. Bonel A.	1. Gastesi O. (G) 21. Sillero J. 4. Alvarez P. 24. Boriko S. 5. Garcia P. 23. Sustatxa A. 12. Lartitegi J. 8. Zabala M. 16. Verde A. 10. Hidalgo A. 2. Vizcay T.
Substitutes
30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 17. Arroyo R. 18. Bonel A. 26. Garin X. 35. Kall A. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 20. Perez B. 13. Rafa (G) 5. Santos U. 28. Villamayor Y.	18. Honrado A. 25. Jarauta J. (G) 22. Mattheus C. 14. Messina F. 19. Mutilva C. 17. Rodriguez J. L. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Zabala M. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Lartitegi J. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Bonel A. ⚽,
45', Alvarez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 🟨,
57', Lartitegi J. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Pedroarena M. ⚽,
61', Bonel A. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
63', Boriko S. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
68', Vizcay T. 🟨,
75', Rico M. ↓, Garin X. ↑,
82', Hidalgo A. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
82', Vizcay T. ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
83', Verde A. 🟨,
85', 2 - 3, Zabala M. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna B won 1.

Osasuna B is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arenas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Osasuna B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.26	Ourense CF - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Mérida AD - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Osasuna B - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Arenteiro - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Osasuna B - Lugo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.11.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna B	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.02.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna B	1:0
03.10.21	Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:2
02.05.21	Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2
07.04.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna B	1:3
25.01.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna B	0:2
07.09.19	Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1

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