Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Ardoi		San Juan

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.98	2.15
	3.24	2.98	2.29	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.33	2.98	2.15
	3.4	2.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	2.18 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ardoi
27.3%

Draw
31%

San Juan
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.9%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

28.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Ardoi - San Juan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).

Ardoi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Juan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Juan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Juan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	AD San Juan	5	2	1	2	9:7	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
04.01.26	Beti Onak - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Ardoi - Avance Ezcabarte	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ardoi - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Beti Kozkor - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ardoi - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTTL
- AD San Juan
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.01.26	San Juan - Beti Kozkor	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Peña Sport - San Juan	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	San Juan - Egüés	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Huarte - San Juan	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	San Juan - Cortes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
12.10.24	Ardoi - San Juan	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.05.22	San Juan - Ardoi	2:0
18.12.21	Ardoi - San Juan	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
08.05.21	Ardoi - San Juan	0:2
25.01.20	San Juan - Ardoi	1:2

Ardoi - San Juan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide