Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Peña Sport		San Juan

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.82	3
	2.34	2.86	3.1
	2.4	2.87	3.11
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.38	2.83	3.05
	2.33	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.36)	2.84 ↓ (2.85)	3.06 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
38.3%

Draw
32%

San Juan
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

32%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Peña Sport - San Juan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

Peña Sport is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Juan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Sport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.12.25	Beti Onak - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Peña Sport - Avance Ezcabarte	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ardoi - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Peña Sport - Beti Kozkor	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWTW
- AD San Juan
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
13.12.25	San Juan - Egüés	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Huarte - San Juan	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	San Juan - Cortes	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Oberena - San Juan	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	San Juan - Izarra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.03.25	San Juan - Peña Sport	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.05.22	Peña Sport - San Juan	0:4
08.01.22	San Juan - Peña Sport	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
29.05.21	Peña Sport - San Juan	0:1
01.05.21	San Juan - Peña Sport	5:0

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