Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 27

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Ards		Bangor

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	1.85
	3.1	3.65	1.94
	3.1	3.89	1.85
	3.25	4.08	1.95	Watch
	3.24	3.72	1.92
	3.1	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.65)	3.78 ↓ (4.2)	1.91 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
28.6%

Draw
23.9%

Bangor
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

21.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

21.4%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ards's performance.

Bangor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bangor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bangor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ards - Bangor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ards won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Ards could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bangor have a series of home games.

In this match Bangor is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ards won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ards won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Moyola Park - Ards	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
25.01.25	Ballinamallard United - Ards	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Ards - Armagh City	4:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Ballymena United - Ards	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
31.12.24	Ards - Dundela	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWWL
- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Championship
04.02.25	Bangor - Ballyclare Comrades	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Bangor - Annagh United	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
17.01.25	Newry City - Bangor	2:1 ✺
10.01.25	Bangor - Limavady United	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Bangor - Newington	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.12.24	Bangor - Ards	0:0
27.08.24	Ards - Bangor	0:4
09.02.24	Bangor - Ards	3:1
26.12.23	Ards - Bangor	2:2
11.08.23	Bangor - Ards	1:0
Club Friendly
02.08.22	Bangor - Ards	0:3
28.08.20	Bangor - Ards	1:2

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