Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Ards		Loughgall

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.65
	2.42	3.2	2.65
	2.25	3.17	2.85
	2.4	3.32	2.7	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.39	3.14	2.66
	2.37	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.41)	3.18 ↓ (3.48)	2.7 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
38.3%

Draw
28.3%

Loughgall
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ards - Loughgall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 2.

Loughgall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ards won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Loughgall	10	3	4	3	14:19	-5	13
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ards - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
11.08.26	Ards - Dundela	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Carrick Rangers - Ards	1:0 ✺
16.07.26	Bangor - Ards	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
25.04.26	Warrenpoint Town - Ards	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Institute FC - Ards	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLWL
- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Championship
15.08.26	Institute FC - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Loughgall - Newington	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Loughgall - Dungannon Swifts	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Ballyclare Comrades - Loughgall	1:4 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
24.04.26	Newington - Loughgall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
10.03.26	Loughgall - Ards	0:1
06.12.25	Ards - Loughgall	1:1
27.09.25	Loughgall - Ards	1:1
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Ards - Loughgall	2:0
Northern Irish Championship
08.04.23	Loughgall - Ards	5:0
18.02.23	Ards - Loughgall	0:3
29.10.22	Loughgall - Ards	6:1

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