Match Info
NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 38Date: 25 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Milltown (Warrenpoint)
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Warrenpoint Town |
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Ards |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3 |
3.45 |
2.12 |
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 |
3.04 |
3.64 |
1.96 |
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3.06 |
3.75 |
2.03 |
 Watch |
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3 |
3.3 |
2 |
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3.14 |
3.48 |
2.02 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.91) |
3.52 ↑
(3.52) |
2.03 ↓
(2.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Warrenpoint Town
29.7% | Draw
25.7% | Ards
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-1%)Warrenpoint Town - Ards Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Warrenpoint Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Warrenpoint Town has had a series of away games. Ards will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Warrenpoint Town won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Warrenpoint | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
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| 11 | Ards | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Northern Irish Championship | | | 21.03.26 | Ards - Warrenpoint Town | 3:0 | | 26.12.25 | Ards - Warrenpoint Town | 0:0 | | 11.04.23 | Ards - Warrenpoint Town | 1:0 | | 21.01.23 | Ards - Warrenpoint Town | 3:5 | | 26.11.22 | Warrenpoint Town - Ards | 1:4 | | 03.09.22 | Warrenpoint Town - Ards | 2:1 | | Northern Irish Premiership | | | 27.04.19 | Warrenpoint Town - Ards | 1:1 |
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