Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ards		Strabane Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.40	5.75
	1.40	4.30	6.30
	1.37	4.57	6.16
	1.41	4.56	6.2	Watch
	1.35	4.50	6.05
	1.50	4.26	5.97
	1.39	4.30	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	4.41 ↑ (4.09)	6.06 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
64.5%

Draw
20.5%

Strabane Athletic
14.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Strabane Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strabane Athletic than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ards - Strabane Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 14th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Recent results have been tough for Ards (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Strabane Athletic have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Ards has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Bookmakers give the edge to Ards for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ards	13	4	4	5	15:16	-1	16
15	Strabane Athletic	13	2	4	7	11:22	-11	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
12.09.26	Ards - Rathfriland Rangers	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Annagh United - Ards	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Ards - Queens University Belfast	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Ards - Loughgall	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Ards - Dundela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLT
- Strabane Athletic
Northern Irish Championship
18.09.26	Dundela - Strabane Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Strabane Athletic - Newry City	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Strabane Athletic - Newington	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Strabane Athletic - Harland & Wolff Welders	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Moyola Park - Strabane Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLLW

Ards - Strabane Athletic