Match Info

Liga 1 - Round 1

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Arema		PSBS Biak Numfor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.9	5
	1.58	3.8	4.65	Watch
	1.87	3.72	3.98
	1.17	5.98	17.78	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.6
	1.61	3.74	4.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.12)	4.14 ↑ (3.14)	6.8 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
62.2%

Draw
23.5%

PSBS Biak Numfor
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arema's performance.

PSBS Biak Numfor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSBS Biak Numfor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Arema - PSBS Biak Numfor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). PSBS Biak will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arema: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arema (votes: 2 - 66.7%). PSBS Biak (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Arema (2.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Arema (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arema (votes: 5 - 83.3%). PSBS Biak (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Satryo A. (G) 72. Setiawan B. 26. Luiz Gustavo 5. Yann Motta 19. Maulana A. 28. Betinho 10. Valdeci 41. Santoso D. (C) 21. Puleio I. 94. Dalberto 9. Paulinho Moccelin	41. Kadu (G) 5. Haji Haris N. 16. Lopez K. 6. Embalo S. (C) 23. Oktavianto L. 20. Barbosa E. 8. Oktaviansyah A. 10. Luquinhas 94. Susanto H. 9. Hassan M. 27. Putra Y.
Substitutes
22. Aswin 13. Balinsa S. G. 20. Fachrezi R. 96. Iksan M. 31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 12. Marasabessy M. 17. Mardiyanto D. 24. Rafli M. 23. Rifai M. 18. Scheunemann B. 27. Setiawan D. 7. Tito Hamzah	15. Agung A. 90. Alom N. 30. Armaiyn I. 26. Brown G. 3. Budiyono A. 92. Galih D. (G) 25. Isa M. 11. Tahir M.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Alves D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Dalberto (Pen),
18', Yann Motta 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', Putra Y. ↓, Armaiyn I. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Dalberto ⚽, Valdeci (A),
67', Susanto H. ↓, Siregar R. ↑,
67', Oktaviansyah A. ↓, Alom N. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Dalberto ⚽, Paulinho Moccelin (A),
72', Valdeci ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
72', Santoso D. ↓, Setiawan D. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Dalberto ⚽,
87', Betinho ↓, Mardiyanto D. ↑,
88', Yann Motta ↓, Rifai M. ↑,
88', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Rafli M. ↑,
90+4', Maulana A. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 1, Luquinhas (Pen),
90+8', Hassan M. ↓, Isa M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Arema is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arema won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Arema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian President Cup
10.07.25	Arema - Oxford United	0:4 ✺
Indonesian Super League
24.05.25	Arema - Semen Padang	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Arema	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Arema - Persik Kediri	0:3 ✺
05.05.25	Persis Solo - Arema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTLW
- PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesian Super League
23.05.25	Dewa United - PSBS Biak Numfor	4:0 ✺
18.05.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Arema	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persis Solo	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Persita Tangerang - PSBS Biak Numfor	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Barito Putera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
18.05.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Arema	2:2
21.12.24	Arema - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:2

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