Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Arema		Semen Padang

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.7	Watch
	1.88	3.64	4.05
	1.85	3.64	3.94	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.82	3.44	3.83	Watch
	1.81	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	3.84 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
49.8%

Draw
26.3%

Semen Padang
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Arema - Semen Padang Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Satryo A. (G) 96. Iksan M. 5. Walisson Maia 66. Yama H. (C) 87. Farisi A. 28. Betinho 25. Matheus Blade 7. Gabriel Silva 77. Gustavo Franca 94. Dalberto 9. Joel Vinicius	27. Oscario R. (G) 2. Tsouka R. 24. Meneses A. (C) 4. Giraldo J. 12. Simanjuntak S. 22. Botan K. 10. Froese K. 30. Wakaso A. 21. Diarra B. 15. Juliansyah F. 9. Guillermo
Substitutes
13. Balinsa S. G. 8. Fikri A. 6. Guevara J. 4. Guntara L. 14. Hariono J. 12. Marasabessy M. 18. Pandenuwu G. (G) 41. Santoso D. 72. Setiawan B. 27. Setiawan D. 11. Tuharea S. 10. Valdeci	25. Afandi Z. 26. Agong W. 8. Ariansyah R. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 13. Diego Mauricio 5. Gufron A. 3. Kristiano A. 17. Maicon Souza 86. Oropa A. 31. Setiawan R. 63. Wahyudi R.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Antonic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Betinho ↓, Valdeci ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Joel Vinicius ⚽, Gustavo Franca (A),
45', Yama H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Iksan M. ↓, Guntara L. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Gustavo Franca ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
57', Tsouka R. ↓, Maicon Souza ↑,
58', Juliansyah F. ↓, Ariansyah R. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Joel Vinicius ⚽, Valdeci (A),
64', Diarra B. ↓, Diego Mauricio ↑,
77', Joel Vinicius ↓, Fikri A. ↑,
82', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
87', Froese K. ↓, Wahyudi R. ↑,
87', Gabriel Silva ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
88', Yama H. ↓, Santoso D. ↑,
88', Gustavo Franca ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
90+1', Wakaso A. ↓, Setiawan R. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arema won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Arema could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arema won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arema won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Arema FC	6	1	3	2	12:14	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
08.02.26	Persija Jakarta - Arema	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Arema - Persijap Jepara	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Dewa United - Arema	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Arema - Persik Kediri	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bali United Pusam - Arema	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWL
- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
08.02.26	Semen Padang - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	PSM Makassar - Semen Padang	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bali United Pusam - Semen Padang	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Semen Padang - Persis Solo	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
03.11.25	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2
24.05.25	Arema - Semen Padang	0:2
27.12.24	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2
28.10.19	Arema - Semen Padang	1:0
12.07.19	Semen Padang - Arema	0:1
04.11.17	Arema - Semen Padang	5:3
21.07.17	Semen Padang - Arema	2:0

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