Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 27

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Arenal		Mallorca B

	1	X	2
	9.75	5.5	1.22
	9.72	5.23	1.22
	9.31	5.13	1.23
	10.6	5.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.85 ↑ (8.4)	5.34 ↑ (4.5)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenal
9.2%

Draw
16.9%

Mallorca B
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

20.1%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

19.7%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mallorca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca B than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, ⚽,
31', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Arenal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mallorca B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Mallorca B is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arenal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.03.24	Poblense - Arenal	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Arenal - Constancia	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Collerense - Arenal	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Arenal	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Arenal - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWLW
- Mallorca B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.03.24	Mallorca B - Binissalem	4:0 ✺
16.03.24	Inter Manacor - Mallorca B	0:9 ✺
10.03.24	Mallorca B - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Felanitx - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Mallorca B - Platges de Calvià	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.11.23	Mallorca B - Arenal	3:0

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