Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 25

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Arenal		Constancia

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	5.38	3.56	1.56
	5.33	3.31	1.63
	5.7	3.74	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (3.82)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	1.56 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arenal
16.5%

Draw
25.6%

Constancia
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenal's form might have worsened.

Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constancia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Constancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arenal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.03.24	Collerense - Arenal	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Arenal	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Arenal - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Inter Manacor - Arenal	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Arenal - Mercadal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWTT
- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.03.24	Constancia - Binissalem	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Inter Manacor - Constancia	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Constancia - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Felanitx - Constancia	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Constancia - Platges de Calvià	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
28.10.23	Constancia - Arenal	1:0

Arenal - Constancia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide