Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 24

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Collerense		Arenal

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.73	5.42
	1.53	3.73	5.42
	1.64	3.75	5.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	5.39 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collerense
58.7%

Draw
24.4%

Arenal
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collerense's performance.

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collerense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+4%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15).

Collerense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arenal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Collerense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
01.03.24	Binissalem - Collerense	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Collerense - Inter Manacor	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Mercadal - Collerense	3:3 ✺
10.02.24	Collerense - Felanitx	4:2 ✺
03.02.24	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWTWW
- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
03.03.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Arenal	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Arenal - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Inter Manacor - Arenal	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Arenal - Mercadal	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Felanitx - Arenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTTW

Collerense - Arenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide