Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 25

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Arenas Armilla		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.26	2.87	2.19
	3.16	2.89	2.26
	3.24	3.02	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.5)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.21 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
28.4%

Draw
30.8%

Almeria B
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenas Armilla's form might have worsened.

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almeria B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Armilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almeria B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Arenas Armilla is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Almeria B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arenas Armilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Armilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
03.03.24	Torre Del Mar - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Atlético Melilla - Arenas Armilla	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Arenas Armilla - Málaga Juniors	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTWWL
- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
03.03.24	Almeria B - Rincón	4:0 ✺
25.02.24	Maracena - Almeria B	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Almeria B - El Ejido	5:0 ✺
11.02.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Almeria B - Torredonjimeno	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
29.10.23	Almeria B - Arenas Armilla	2:0
11.02.23	Arenas Armilla - Almeria B	1:0
16.10.22	Almeria B - Arenas Armilla	4:0

Arenas Armilla - Almeria B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide