Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Arenas Armilla

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.95	7.15
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.63)	3.95 ↑ (3.25)	7.15 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
64.5%

Draw
22.9%

Arenas Armilla
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

27.7%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Armilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Armilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Cabello A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Recent matches Jaén is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arenas Armilla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Jaén is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaén won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 1.8:0.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.02.25	CP Almería - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Real Jaén - Martos	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Real Jaén	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Malaga B - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLL
- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.02.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Torreperogil - Arenas Armilla	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Málaga Juniors - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Arenas Armilla - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.10.24	Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén	1:3
04.02.24	Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla	2:0
24.09.23	Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén	0:2
05.03.23	Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla	1:0
06.11.22	Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén	0:1

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