Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 10h 18m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez (Estepona) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	20:00	DAZN France


	Mijas-Las Lagunas		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.86
	3.60	3.70	1.95
	3.13	3.31	1.98
	3.4	3.58	2	Watch
	3.05	3.2	1.94
	3.56	3.54	1.97
	3.65	3.45	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (4.19)	3.48 ↓ (3.64)	1.94 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mijas-Las Lagunas
26.5%

Draw
26.3%

Real Jaén
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.2%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Mijas Las Lagunas - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Mijas-Las Lagunas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Jaén have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jaén may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jaén holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Mijas-Las Lagunas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Mijas-Las Lagunas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.10.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Betis B	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Tenerife B - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Sevilla B	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mijas-Las Lagunas	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Tamaraceite	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWTW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.26	Atlético Madrid B - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Real Jaén - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Real Jaén - Villarreal B	3:3 ✺
03.10.26	Hércules - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Antequera - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.01.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Real Jaén	3:0

Mijas-Las Lagunas - Real Jaén