The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Club de Getxo 65.6%
Draw 21.8%
Alfaro 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
25.6%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
23.7%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Club de Getxo's performance.
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Arenas Club de Getxo - Alfaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Zabaleta E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Uzkudun A. ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).
Arenas in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Alfaro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Arenas is absolute favorite.
Our prediction for today's Arenas to win the game is with odds 1.39.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Arenas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Arenas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
Watch
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