Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Subiza

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.45	3.95	6.2
	1.48	3.89	7.27
	1.5	3.85	6.13	Watch
	1.48	4	6.36
	1.45	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	3.94 ↑ (3.9)	6.28 ↓ (6.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
62.2%

Draw
23.2%

Subiza
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Subiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Club de Getxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (-2%)

Arenas Club de Getxo - Subiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Alvarez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 0, Ibarrondo A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Arenas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Subiza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arenas is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arenas to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.10.24	Barbastro - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Anguiano	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Teruel	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	SD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Calahorra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLW
- CD Subiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.10.24	Subiza - SD Logroñés	2:3 ✺
29.09.24	Calahorra - Subiza	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Subiza - Utebo	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Eibar B - Subiza	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Subiza - Tudelano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL

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