The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Club de Getxo 34.8%
Draw 26.8%
Athletic Bilbao B 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
27.6%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
26.8%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Club de Getxo's performance.
Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Obon (G) 2. Larrauri J. (C) 22. Dufur A. 5. Zubelzu J. 3. Lekuna A. 8. Badiola I. 6. Garcia I. 18. Torres Manzanares R. 10. Pedroarena M. 9. Cortes J. 23. Oyon A.
13. Santos M. (G) 2. Perez D. 15. Larrea B. 4. Izagirre Cestona A. 18. Belategi D. 6. Lete E. (C) 23. Sola J. 16. Sanchez S. 11. Conde A. 20. Vizcay T. 7. Huestamendia P.
Substitutes
24. Arnedo A. 15. Arratibel B. 25. Benitez E. (G) 17. Bujan U. 13. Oleaga H. (G) 12. Palacin E. 14. Redondo E. 11. Sanchez J. 21. Telletxea I. 20. Zabaleta E.
32. Ellakuria E. 1. Garcia S. (G) 14. Korkut E. 31. Martinez P. 5. Monreal I. 19. Oyono I. 17. Pecina A. 8. Perez A. 27. Zarandona T.
Coaches
Erice J.
Bittor Llopis
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Pedroarena M. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
28', Torres Manzanares R. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Vizcay T. ⚽, Conde A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Badiola I. ↓, Arratibel B. ↑,
46', Cortes J. ↓, Redondo E. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Vizcay T. ⚽,
58', Larrauri J. ↓, Telletxea I. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Lete E. ⚽, Vizcay T. (A),
69', Vizcay T. ↓, Pecina A. ↑,
69', Sanchez S. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
78', Dufur A. ↓, Palacin E. ↑,
82', Huestamendia P. ↓, Oyono I. ↑,
82', Conde A. ↓, Korkut E. ↑,
87', Zubelzu J. 🟨,
89', Belategi D. ↓, Zarandona T. ↑,
90', Arratibel B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 1.
Arenas is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Athletic Bilbao B shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Arenas has recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:20 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arenas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Ath Bilbao B
6
3
2
1
12:8
4
11
20
Arenas Getxo
6
0
2
4
4:14
-10
2
Last Results with these Odds
Arenas Club de Getxo - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.26%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Obon (G) 
Korkut E. 
