Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Pontevedra		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.10	4.00
	1.85	3.10	3.90
	1.92	3.05	3.95
	1.97	3.24	4.36
	2.05	3.06	3.91	Watch
	1.82	3.20	4.30
	1.93	3.23	4.16
	1.89	3.05	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	4.05 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
48%

Draw
29.3%

Athletic Bilbao B
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Pontevedra - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 16. Vidorreta A. 15. Alba D. 5. Perez A. 20. Rui Pedro 8. Ramos J. 10. Pino Y. (C) 17. Gil A. 21. Charid I. 11. Elejalde I. 9. Mba D.	13. Santos M. (G) 18. Belategi D. 15. Larrea B. 27. Zarandona T. 3. Sarasketa L. 14. Korkut E. 6. Lete E. (C) 23. Sola J. 19. Oyono I. 20. Vizcay T. 22. Imga C.
Substitutes
2. Argos A. 23. Bravo M. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 18. Ergouai R. 13. Galindo I. (G) 7. Gonzalez A. 6. Ivorra I. 14. Macias L. 19. Omoregbe B.	11. Conde A. 28. El Arbaoui I. 21. Garcia B. 1. Garcia S. (G) 7. Huestamendia P. 4. Izagirre Cestona A. 17. Pecina A. 2. Perez D. 16. Sanchez S.
Coaches
Dominguez R.	Bittor Llopis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Imga C. ⚽, Sarasketa L. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Vizcay T. ⚽, Sarasketa L. (A),
43', Alba D. 🟨,
45+4', Sarasketa L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gil A. ↓, Ergouai R. ↑,
46', Charid I. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
46', Alba D. ↓, Argos A. ↑,
46', Ramos J. ↓, Ivorra I. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽, Argos A. (A),
57', Imga C. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
57', Korkut E. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
58', Sarasketa L. ↓, El Arbaoui I. ↑,
65', Oyono I. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
68', Lete E. 🟨,
71', Rui Pedro 🟥,
76', Elejalde I. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
81', Sola J. ↓, Izagirre Cestona A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Conde A. ⚽, Huestamendia P. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Pontevedra have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletic Bilbao B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Athletic Bilbao B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pontevedra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ath Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11
11	Pontevedra	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Pontevedra - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.09.26	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
28.08.26	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Coruxo - Pontevedra	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Pontevedra - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Arosa - Pontevedra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Laredo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.05.26	Pontevedra - Athletic Bilbao B	4:0
20.09.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Pontevedra	1:0

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