Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Athletic Bilbao B		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	1.95	3.20	3.40
	2.02	3.1	3.45
	2.13	3.25	3.37
	2.08	3.28	3.53	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.3
	2.14	3.13	3.54
	2.01	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.15 ↑ (3.07)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
44.3%

Draw
29%

Real Avilés
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 18. Belategi D. 15. Larrea B. 5. Monreal I. (C) 28. El Arbaoui I. 23. Sola J. 16. Sanchez S. 11. Conde A. 21. Garcia B. 7. Huestamendia P. 17. Pecina A.	1. Raton A. (G) 15. Alday I. 21. Sillero J. 23. Carmona A. 3. Escoruela R. 6. Doncel P. 5. Mayo S. 8. Abelenda B. 7. Montes C. 9. Santamaria A. 14. Cayarga B. (C)
Substitutes
1. Garcia S. (G) 22. Imga C. 4. Izagirre Cestona A. 14. Korkut E. 6. Lete E. 19. Oyono I. 2. Perez D. 3. Sarasketa L. 20. Vizcay T. 27. Zarandona T.	4. Artetxe M. 24. Franco S. 22. Gomez I. 27. Liduena Alonso D. 2. Mahicas J. 11. Munoz I. 10. Neskes 19. Poquet N. 17. Prendes M. 18. Rodriguez Y. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Belategi D. ⚽, Huestamendia P. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Escoruela R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Pecina A. ⚽,
58', Pecina A. ↓, Vizcay T. ↑,
58', Sanchez S. ↓, Lete E. ↑,
58', Conde A. ↓, Oyono I. ↑,
65', Cayarga B. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
65', Doncel P. ↓, Neskes ↑,
65', Montes C. ↓, Liduena Alonso D. ↑,
68', Larrea B. 🟨,
71', Munoz I. 🟨,
74', Santamaria A. ↓, Franco S. ↑,
74', Escoruela R. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
76', Huestamendia P. ↓, Imga C. ↑,
80', Mayo S. 🟨,
83', El Arbaoui I. ↓, Sarasketa L. ↑,
88', Lete E. 🟨,

Preview

Athletic Bilbao B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Avilés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Athletic Bilbao B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ath Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Avilés - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.39%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.08.26	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Laredo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWLWW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.08.26	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Mosconia - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Ferrol - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Leonesa - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Ponferradina - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	0:1
28.09.25	Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B	3:2
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2

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