The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Barakaldo 57.8%
Draw 23.4%
Arenas Club de Getxo 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
21.8%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
16.7%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.
Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arenas Club de Getxo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barakaldo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 22. Calera S. 17. Trigueros P. 18. Gomez B. 3. Zoilo A. 15. Jimenez I. 8. Huidobro J. (C) 19. Troncho A. 21. Fernandez X. 14. Collado U. 20. Okolo
13. Oleaga H. (G) 5. Zubelzu J. 22. Dufur A. 15. Arratibel B. 3. Lekuna A. 24. Arnedo A. 2. Larrauri J. (C) 16. Akogo G. 21. Telletxea I. 18. Torres Manzanares R. 20. Zabaleta E.
Substitutes
1. Ispizua I. (G) 4. Marotias O. 27. Mateos E. 11. Mattheus C. 5. Muguruza A. 10. Pena A. 26. Ruiz M. 9. Sola X. 32. Uruena A.
8. Badiola I. 25. Benitez E. (G) 17. Bujan U. 9. Cortes J. 23. Oyon A. 12. Palacin E. 14. Redondo E. 11. Sanchez J.
Coaches
de la Sota Aberasturi I.
Erice J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Arnedo A. 🟨,
34', Troncho A. 🟥,
37', Gomez B. 🟨,
45+2', Trigueros P. 🟨,
45+3', Trigueros P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Collado U. ↓, Mateos E. ↑,
46', Okolo ↓, Marotias O. ↑,
51', Arratibel B. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Arnedo A. (Own goal),
55', Arratibel B. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
62', Zabaleta E. ↓, Redondo E. ↑,
62', Arnedo A. ↓, Oyon A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Dufur A. ⚽, Torres Manzanares R. (A),
75', Fernandez X. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
83', Calera S. ↓, Uruena A. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 15th and 20th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 2.
In recent outings, Barakaldo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Arenas has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Barakaldo for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barakaldo has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barakaldo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 0.9:0.5 per game).
Spain
Watch
#ad
Campos G. (G) 
Akogo G. 
